ArianSmith

6'0"179 lbAge 242 seasonsGeorgiaDraft 2025 · R4 P110

Week 1 ProjectionBFIQ model

@ Titans · Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET

Projected fantasy pointsPPR scoring0.9

Carries0.2

Rush Yards0.8

Receptions0.5

Receiving Yards3.6

Backfield IQ model: 2025 per-game production adjusted for opponent defense.

Shared model

Joint roster forecast

Guarded specialist marginals across both complete rosters

Relational

Offensive snaps

13%

Defensive snaps

Carries0.27P10–P90 0.0–1.0

Rush yards1.19P10–P90 0.0–3.5

Targets0.78P10–P90 0.0–2.0

Receptions0.27P10–P90 0.0–1.0

Receiving yards2.25P10–P90 0.0–6.0

Strongest learned context

Joey Slye · opp David Onyemata · team Nicholas Singleton · opp Cam Ward · opp Solomon Thomas · opp Nahshon Wright · team Geno Smith · team Jowon Briggs · team

Ranges integrate uncertainty in game environment, team volume, participation, allocation, and conversion. Context links show learned attention, not isolated causal effects.

Public receipt

2025 Projection Report Card

Walk-forward: each week projected using only prior data

Rush Yards

±5.1avg miss · 5 wks

Receptions

±0.5avg miss · 6 wks

Receiving Yards

±6.8avg miss · 11 wks

This season

2026 Game Log

Week	Opp	Result
Week 1	@TEN	W 23–10
1 games

Performance history

2025 Game Log

Week	Opp	Result	CAR	RUSH YDS	RUSH TD	TGT	REC	REC YDS	REC TD
Week 2	BUF	L 10–30	1	-10	0	2	1	8	0
Week 3	@TB	L 27–29	—	—	—	2	2	2	0
Week 5	DAL	L 22–37	—	—	—	1	1	14	0
Week 6	DEN	L 11–13	—	—	—	1	0	0	0
Week 7	CAR	L 6–13	—	—	—	3	1	0	0
Week 8	@CIN	W 39–38	—	—	—	1	1	23	0
Week 10	CLE	W 27–20	1	13	0	—	—	—	—
Week 12	@BAL	L 10–23	1	8	0	—	—	—	—
Week 15	@JAX	L 20–48	—	—	—	2	0	0	0
Week 16	@NO	L 6–29	—	—	—	1	0	0	0
Week 17	NE	L 10–42	—	—	—	1	1	5	0
Week 18	@BUF	L 8–35	1	2	0	2	0	0	0
16 games			4	13	0	16	7	52	0