JoeySlye

5'11"228 lbAge 308 seasonsVirginia TechUndrafted

Week 4 ProjectionBFIQ model

@ Ravens · Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET

Projected fantasy pointsPPR scoring8.3

Field Goals2.1

FG Attempts2.6

Extra Points2

Backfield IQ model: 2025 per-game production adjusted for opponent defense.

Shared model

Joint roster forecast

Guarded specialist marginals across both complete rosters

Relational

Offensive snaps

Defensive snaps

FG attempts1.66P10–P90 0.0–3.0

Field goals1.40P10–P90 0.0–3.0

Strongest learned context

Geno Smith · opp Mitchell Trubisky · team Tim Patrick · opp Cam Ward · team Daniel Bellinger · team Julius Chestnut · team Joe Tippmann · opp Andrew Beck · opp

Ranges integrate uncertainty in game environment, team volume, participation, allocation, and conversion. Context links show learned attention, not isolated causal effects.

The game around the player

Role across game environments.

How the same player changes when the game script changes.

Open matchup

13%

Any-snap probability

Pregame role

The current role has no material stat allocation in this matchup. A zero forecast is still an explicit probabilistic inference, not a missing player.

Scenario means integrate back to the guarded player distribution. “Validated” is awarded per market; a descriptive forecast is not automatically a betting signal.

This season

2026 Game Log

Week	Opp	Result	FGM	FGA	XPM
Week 1	@TEN	W 23–10	1	1	1
Week 2	PHI	L 20–24	2	2	2
Week 3	@NYG	L 7–12	—	1	1
3 games			3	4	4

Performance history

2025 Game Log

Week	Opp	Result	FGM	FGA	XPM
Week 1	@DEN	L 12–20	4	4	—
Week 2	LA	L 19–33	4	4	1
Week 3	IND	L 20–41	2	4	2
Week 4	@HOU	L 0–26	—	2	—
Week 5	TEN	L 21–22	3	3	1
Week 7	NE	L 13–31	2	2	1
Week 8	TEN	W 38–14	—	1	2
Week 9	LAC	L 20–27	2	2	2
Week 11	@TEN	W 16–13	2	2	1
Week 12	SEA	L 24–30	1	1	3
Week 13	@TEN	W 25–3	1	1	—
Week 14	@CLE	W 31–29	1	1	4
Week 15	@SF	L 24–37	1	2	3
Week 16	@TEN	L 9–26	1	1	3
Week 17	NO	L 26–34	4	4	2
Week 18	TEN	W 41–7	—	1	1
16 games			28	35	26