Week 4 ProjectionBFIQ model
@ Ravens · Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET
Projected fantasy pointsPPR scoring8.3
Pass Attempts9.2
Completions7.2
Pass Yards90
Pass TDs1.1
Carries0.5
Rush Yards2.9
Backfield IQ model: 2025 per-game production adjusted for opponent defense.
Shared model
Joint roster forecast
Guarded specialist marginals across both complete rosters
Offensive snaps
94%
Defensive snaps
1%
Pass attempts27.3P10–P90 15.0–41.0
Completions14.3P10–P90 8.0–21.0
Pass yards195.7P10–P90 100.9–290.5
Pass TDs2.01P10–P90 0.0–4.0
Carries4.12P10–P90 1.0–8.0
Rush yards6.28P10–P90 0.0–30.4
Rush TDs0.07P10–P90 0.0–0.0
Strongest learned context
Ranges integrate uncertainty in game environment, team volume, participation, allocation, and conversion. Context links show learned attention, not isolated causal effects.
The game around the player
Role across game environments.
How the same player changes when the game script changes.
99%
Any-snap probability
QB
Pregame role
Rush yards
carry opportunity moves with run volume; blocker/front matchup and gain efficiency remain player-specific
5.00 → 7.62
BAL controls · balanced · neutral pace
One-score game · balanced · neutral pace
Pass yards
team pass volume changes attempts; conditional passing efficiency remains player-specific
161.4 → 235.7
BAL controls · defensive · slow
BAL controls · high scoring · fast
Pass attempts
drive pace changes team dropbacks; QB role remains in the guarded marginal
24.1 → 30.5
BAL controls · defensive · slow
BAL controls · high scoring · fast
Carries
team run volume changes package exposure; backfield handoff competition remains player-specific
3.65 → 4.61
BAL controls · balanced · neutral pace
One-score game · balanced · neutral pace
Scenario means integrate back to the guarded player distribution. “Validated” is awarded per market; a descriptive forecast is not automatically a betting signal.
This season
2026 Game Log
No 2026 game data recorded.
Performance history