Week 1 ProjectionBFIQ model
@ Jaguars · Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
Projected fantasy pointsPPR scoring5.8
Carries4.3
Rush Yards9.9
Receptions2.3
Receiving Yards18.8
Receiving TDs0.1
Solo Tackles0.1
Assist Tackles0.1
Backfield IQ model: 2025 per-game production adjusted for opponent defense.
Shared model
Joint roster forecast
Guarded specialist marginals across both complete rosters
Offensive snaps
13%
Defensive snaps
7%
Carries5.85P10–P90 2.0–10.1
Rush yards19.8P10–P90 0.0–45.3
Rush TDs0.05P10–P90 0.0–0.0
Targets2.07P10–P90 0.0–4.0
Receptions2.04P10–P90 0.0–4.0
Receiving yards12.2P10–P90 3.1–24.9
Receiving TDs0.06P10–P90 0.0–0.0
Strongest learned context
Ranges integrate uncertainty in game environment, team volume, participation, allocation, and conversion. Context links show learned attention, not isolated causal effects.
Public receipt
2025 Projection Report Card
Walk-forward: each week projected using only prior data
Rush Yards
±12.2avg miss · 14 wks
Receptions
±2.3avg miss · 14 wks
Receiving Yards
±24avg miss · 14 wks
This season
2026 Game Log
No 2026 game data recorded.
Performance history