Week 4 ProjectionBFIQ model
@ Bengals · Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET
Projected fantasy pointsPPR scoring9.3
Pass Attempts20.8
Completions15.4
Pass Yards174.3
Pass TDs0.8
Interceptions0.8
Carries1.5
Rush Yards6
Receptions0.3
Receiving Yards-1.7
Backfield IQ model: 2025 per-game production adjusted for opponent defense.
Shared model
Joint roster forecast
Guarded specialist marginals across both complete rosters
Offensive snaps
71%
Defensive snaps
4%
Pass attempts11.8P10–P90 6.0–19.0
Completions7.76P10–P90 4.0–12.0
Pass yards67.5P10–P90 0.0–162.4
Pass TDs0.15P10–P90 0.0–1.0
Interceptions0.32P10–P90 0.0–1.0
Carries2.66P10–P90 0.0–6.0
Rush yards7.88P10–P90 0.0–32.0
Rush TDs0.08P10–P90 0.0–0.0
Strongest learned context
Ranges integrate uncertainty in game environment, team volume, participation, allocation, and conversion. Context links show learned attention, not isolated causal effects.
The game around the player
Role across game environments.
How the same player changes when the game script changes.
99%
Any-snap probability
QB
Pregame role
Pass yards
team pass volume changes attempts; conditional passing efficiency remains player-specific
56.2 → 80.0
One-score game · defensive · slow
CIN controls · high scoring · fast
Rush yards
carry opportunity moves with run volume; blocker/front matchup and gain efficiency remain player-specific
6.51 → 9.26
CIN controls · balanced · neutral pace
JAX controls · balanced · neutral pace
Pass attempts
drive pace changes team dropbacks; QB role remains in the guarded marginal
10.4 → 13.3
One-score game · defensive · slow
CIN controls · high scoring · fast
Carries
team run volume changes package exposure; backfield handoff competition remains player-specific
2.37 → 2.95
CIN controls · balanced · neutral pace
JAX controls · balanced · neutral pace
Scenario means integrate back to the guarded player distribution. “Validated” is awarded per market; a descriptive forecast is not automatically a betting signal.
This season
2026 Game Log
No 2026 game data recorded.
Performance history