Denver BroncosCB

RileyMoss

6'0"193 lbAge 264 seasonsIowaDraft 2023 · R3 P83
Week 4 ProjectionBFIQ model
@ 49ers · Sun, Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET
Solo Tackles4
Assist Tackles1.6
Sacks0.1

Backfield IQ model: 2025 per-game production adjusted for opponent defense.

Shared model
Joint roster forecast
Guarded specialist marginals across both complete rosters
Relational
Offensive snaps
1%
Defensive snaps
95%
Solo tackles3.21P10–P90 1.0–6.0
Assist tackles1.69P10–P90 0.0–4.0
Sacks0.05P10–P90 0.0–0.0

Ranges integrate uncertainty in game environment, team volume, participation, allocation, and conversion. Context links show learned attention, not isolated causal effects.

The game around the player
Role across game environments.
How the same player changes when the game script changes.
99%
Any-snap probability
DB
Pregame role
Assisted tackles
opponent plays change tackle chances; defensive role and tackle-credit rate remain player-specific
1.52 → 1.86
One-score game · defensive · slow
SF controls · high scoring · fast
Solo tackles
opponent plays change tackle chances; defensive role and tackle-credit rate remain player-specific
2.88 → 3.53
One-score game · defensive · slow
SF controls · high scoring · fast
Sacks
opponent dropbacks change rush chances; participation, pressure allocation and finish remain player-specific
0.05 → 0.05
SF controls · balanced · neutral pace
DEN controls · balanced · neutral pace

Scenario means integrate back to the guarded player distribution. “Validated” is awarded per market; a descriptive forecast is not automatically a betting signal.

This season

2026 Game Log

WeekOppResultSOLOAST
Week 1@KCL 10–3132
Week 2JAXW 20–132—
Week 3LAW 30–2633
3 games85
Performance history

2025 Game Log

WeekOppResultSOLOAST
Week 1TENW 20–1252
Week 2@INDL 28–2941
Week 3@LACL 20–2342
Week 4CINW 28–32—
Week 5@PHIW 21–1723
Week 6@NYJW 13–1151
Week 7NYGW 33–321—
Week 8DALW 44–2433
Week 9@HOUW 18–155—
Week 10LVW 10–741
Week 11KCW 22–1931
Week 13@WASW 27–2631
Week 14@LVW 24–1723
Week 15GBW 34–264—
Week 16JAXL 20–3451
Week 17@KCW 20–1321
Week 18LACW 19–333
Week 20BUFW 33–3031
Week 21NEL 7–102—
17 games6224