Los Angeles ChargersDB

ElijahMolden

5'10"192 lbAge 276 seasonsWashingtonDraft 2021 · R3 P100
Week 4 ProjectionBFIQ model
@ Seahawks · Sun, Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET
Solo Tackles2.6
Assist Tackles2.2

Backfield IQ model: 2025 per-game production adjusted for opponent defense.

Shared model
Joint roster forecast
Guarded specialist marginals across both complete rosters
Relational
Offensive snaps
1%
Defensive snaps
65%
Solo tackles2.67P10–P90 1.0–5.0
Assist tackles2.19P10–P90 0.0–5.0

Ranges integrate uncertainty in game environment, team volume, participation, allocation, and conversion. Context links show learned attention, not isolated causal effects.

The game around the player
Role across game environments.
How the same player changes when the game script changes.
99%
Any-snap probability
DB
Pregame role
Solo tackles
opponent plays change tackle chances; defensive role and tackle-credit rate remain player-specific
2.40 → 2.93
One-score game · defensive · slow
SEA controls · high scoring · fast
Assisted tackles
opponent plays change tackle chances; defensive role and tackle-credit rate remain player-specific
1.97 → 2.40
One-score game · defensive · slow
SEA controls · high scoring · fast
Sacks
opponent dropbacks change rush chances; participation, pressure allocation and finish remain player-specific
0.01 → 0.02
SEA controls · balanced · neutral pace
One-score game · balanced · neutral pace

Scenario means integrate back to the guarded player distribution. “Validated” is awarded per market; a descriptive forecast is not automatically a betting signal.

This season

2026 Game Log

WeekOppResultSOLOAST
Week 1ARIL 14–2632
1 games32
Performance history

2025 Game Log

WeekOppResultSOLOAST
Week 1KCW 27–214—
Week 4@NYGL 18–2114
Week 5WASL 10–2741
Week 6@MIAW 29–2723
Week 8MINW 37–10—1
Week 9@TENW 27–2013
Week 10PITW 25–1041
Week 11@JAXL 6–3552
Week 13LVW 31–1423
Week 14PHIW 22–1922
Week 16@DALW 34–17—3
Week 17HOUL 16–2021
Week 19@NEL 3–16—2
12 games2726