ChadRyland

6'0"195 lbAge 264 seasonsMarylandDraft 2023 · R4 P112

Week 4 ProjectionBFIQ model

@ Giants · Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET

Projected fantasy pointsPPR scoring8.5

Field Goals2

FG Attempts2.6

Extra Points2.5

Backfield IQ model: 2025 per-game production adjusted for opponent defense.

Shared model

Joint roster forecast

Guarded specialist marginals across both complete rosters

Relational

Offensive snaps

Defensive snaps

FG attempts2.23P10–P90 0.0–4.0

Field goals1.78P10–P90 0.0–4.0

Strongest learned context

Jamaree Caldwell · opp Josh Sweat · team Trey Lance · opp Baron Browning · team Eku Leota · team Jordan Burch · team Nick Barrett · opp Teair Tart · opp

Ranges integrate uncertainty in game environment, team volume, participation, allocation, and conversion. Context links show learned attention, not isolated causal effects.

The game around the player

Role across game environments.

How the same player changes when the game script changes.

Open matchup

27%

Any-snap probability

Pregame role

The current role has no material stat allocation in this matchup. A zero forecast is still an explicit probabilistic inference, not a missing player.

Scenario means integrate back to the guarded player distribution. “Validated” is awarded per market; a descriptive forecast is not automatically a betting signal.

This season

2026 Game Log

Week	Opp	Result	FGM	FGA	XPM
Week 1	@LAC	W 26–14	4	5	2
Week 2	SEA	L 7–31	—	—	1
Week 3	@SF	L 30–36	3	3	3
3 games			7	8	6

Performance history

2025 Game Log

Week	Opp	Result	FGM	FGA	XPM
Week 1	@NO	W 20–13	2	3	2
Week 2	@ARI	L 22–27	2	2	3
Week 3	@SF	L 15–16	2	3	1
Week 4	SEA	L 20–23	2	2	2
Week 5	TEN	L 21–22	—	—	3
Week 6	ARI	W 31–27	2	2	3
Week 7	GB	L 23–27	3	3	2
Week 9	ARI	L 17–27	2	2	3
Week 10	ARI	W 44–22	—	—	2
Week 11	@ARI	W 41–22	1	2	1
Week 12	JAX	L 24–27	1	2	3
Week 13	ARI	W 20–17	1	2	2
Week 14	LA	L 17–45	1	2	2
Week 15	ARI	W 40–20	—	—	2
Week 16	ATL	L 19–26	4	6	1
Week 17	ARI	W 37–14	—	—	2
Week 18	@LA	L 20–37	2	2	2
17 games			25	33	36