Week 1 ProjectionBFIQ model
vs Cardinals · Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
Projected fantasy pointsPPR scoring8.0
Receptions3
Receiving Yards26.3
Receiving TDs0.4
Backfield IQ model: 2025 per-game production adjusted for opponent defense.
Shared model
Joint roster forecast
Guarded specialist marginals across both complete rosters
Offensive snaps
40%
Defensive snaps
0%
Rush yards0.30P10–P90 0.0–0.5
Targets2.17P10–P90 0.0–4.0
Receptions1.78P10–P90 0.0–4.0
Receiving yards13.2P10–P90 3.0–26.8
Receiving TDs0.11P10–P90 0.0–0.0
Strongest learned context
Ranges integrate uncertainty in game environment, team volume, participation, allocation, and conversion. Context links show learned attention, not isolated causal effects.
Public receipt
2025 Projection Report Card
Walk-forward: each week projected using only prior data
Receptions
±2.6avg miss · 11 wks
Receiving Yards
±23.4avg miss · 11 wks
This season
2026 Game Log
Performance history