Week 1 ProjectionBFIQ model
vs Bears · Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
Projected fantasy pointsPPR scoring2.4
Carries0.6
Rush Yards6.1
Receptions0.9
Receiving Yards8.9
Backfield IQ model: 2025 per-game production adjusted for opponent defense.
Shared model
Joint roster forecast
Guarded specialist marginals across both complete rosters
Offensive snaps
16%
Defensive snaps
0%
Carries0.30P10–P90 0.0–1.0
Rush yards3.93P10–P90 0.0–9.6
Targets0.82P10–P90 0.0–2.0
Receptions0.79P10–P90 0.0–2.0
Receiving yards5.50P10–P90 0.4–13.3
Receiving TDs0.04P10–P90 0.0–0.0
Strongest learned context
Ranges integrate uncertainty in game environment, team volume, participation, allocation, and conversion. Context links show learned attention, not isolated causal effects.
Public receipt
2025 Projection Report Card
Walk-forward: each week projected using only prior data
Rush Yards
±6.4avg miss · 9 wks
Receptions
±0.6avg miss · 9 wks
Receiving Yards
±10.2avg miss · 9 wks
This season
2026 Game Log
Performance history