Green Bay PackersS

EvanWilliams

5'11"200 lbAge 253 seasonsOregonDraft 2024 · R4 P111
Week 4 ProjectionBFIQ model
@ Buccaneers · Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET
Solo Tackles4.3
Assist Tackles2.9

Backfield IQ model: 2025 per-game production adjusted for opponent defense.

Shared model
Joint roster forecast
Guarded specialist marginals across both complete rosters
Relational
Offensive snaps
1%
Defensive snaps
80%
Solo tackles3.23P10–P90 1.0–6.0
Assist tackles1.84P10–P90 0.0–4.0
Sacks0.03P10–P90 0.0–0.0

Ranges integrate uncertainty in game environment, team volume, participation, allocation, and conversion. Context links show learned attention, not isolated causal effects.

The game around the player
Role across game environments.
How the same player changes when the game script changes.
99%
Any-snap probability
DB
Pregame role
Assisted tackles
opponent plays change tackle chances; defensive role and tackle-credit rate remain player-specific
1.66 → 2.02
GB controls · defensive · slow
One-score game · high scoring · fast
Solo tackles
opponent plays change tackle chances; defensive role and tackle-credit rate remain player-specific
2.91 → 3.53
GB controls · defensive · slow
One-score game · high scoring · fast
Sacks
opponent dropbacks change rush chances; participation, pressure allocation and finish remain player-specific
0.03 → 0.03
TB controls · balanced · neutral pace
GB controls · balanced · neutral pace

Scenario means integrate back to the guarded player distribution. “Validated” is awarded per market; a descriptive forecast is not automatically a betting signal.

This season

2026 Game Log

WeekOppResultSOLOAST
Week 1@MINL 22–3961
Week 2@NYJW 20–1761
Week 3ATLL 14–3546
3 games168
Performance history

2025 Game Log

WeekOppResultSOLOASTINT
Week 1DETW 27–13121
Week 2WASW 27–1822—
Week 3@CLEL 10–1332—
Week 4@DALT 40–4054—
Week 6CINW 27–1814—
Week 7@ARIW 27–2334—
Week 8@PITW 35–252——
Week 9CARL 13–1625—
Week 10PHIL 7–1042—
Week 11@NYGW 27–20441
Week 12MINW 23–64—1
Week 13@DETW 31–2435—
Week 14CHIW 28–2142—
Week 15@DENL 26–3432—
Week 17BALL 24–4141—
Week 18@MINL 3–16—3—
Week 19@CHIL 27–3161—
16 games51433