JordanLove

6'4"219 lbAge 277 seasonsUtah StateDraft 2020 · R1 P26

Week 4 ProjectionBFIQ model

@ Buccaneers · Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET

Projected fantasy pointsPPR scoring17.9

Pass Attempts30.6

Completions21.7

Pass Yards263.4

Pass TDs1.8

Interceptions0.4

Carries1.9

Rush Yards9.6

Solo Tackles0.2

Backfield IQ model: 2025 per-game production adjusted for opponent defense.

Shared model

Joint roster forecast

Guarded specialist marginals across both complete rosters

Relational

Offensive snaps

98%

Defensive snaps

Pass attempts40.4P10–P90 23.0–60.0

Completions18.5P10–P90 11.0–27.0

Pass yards243.6P10–P90 148.7–338.4

Pass TDs2.00P10–P90 0.0–4.0

Interceptions0.46P10–P90 0.0–1.0

Carries1.78P10–P90 0.0–4.0

Rush yards8.04P10–P90 0.0–32.2

Strongest learned context

Isaiah McDuffie · team Javon Hargrave · team Dani Dennis-Sutton · team Brian O'Neill · opp Ty'Ron Hopper · team Will Reichard · opp Ryan Van Demark · opp Brett Thorson · opp

Ranges integrate uncertainty in game environment, team volume, participation, allocation, and conversion. Context links show learned attention, not isolated causal effects.

The game around the player

Role across game environments.

How the same player changes when the game script changes.

Open matchup

99%

Any-snap probability

Pregame role

Pass yards

team pass volume changes attempts; conditional passing efficiency remains player-specific

201.4 → 289.2

GB controls · defensive · slow

One-score game · high scoring · fast

Rush yards

carry opportunity moves with run volume; blocker/front matchup and gain efficiency remain player-specific

6.69 → 9.47

TB controls · balanced · neutral pace

GB controls · balanced · neutral pace

Pass attempts

drive pace changes team dropbacks; QB role remains in the guarded marginal

35.7 → 45.1

GB controls · defensive · slow

One-score game · high scoring · fast

Carries

team run volume changes package exposure; backfield handoff competition remains player-specific

1.61 → 1.97

TB controls · balanced · neutral pace

GB controls · balanced · neutral pace

Scenario means integrate back to the guarded player distribution. “Validated” is awarded per market; a descriptive forecast is not automatically a betting signal.

Public receipt

2025 Projection Report Card

Walk-forward: each week projected using only prior data

Pass Attempts

±6.7avg miss · 15 wks

Pass Yards

±69.3avg miss · 15 wks

Rush Yards

±10.7avg miss · 15 wks

This season

2026 Game Log

Week	Opp	Result	CMP	ATT	PASS YDS	PASS TD	INT	CAR	RUSH YDS	RUSH TD
Week 1	@MIN	L 22–39	21	42	387	2	1	1	0	0
Week 2	@NYJ	W 20–17	16	29	145	2	0	—	—	—
Week 3	ATL	L 14–35	28	53	312	2	1	1	0	0
3 games			65	124	844	6	2	2	0	0

Performance history

2025 Game Log

Week	Opp	Result	CMP	ATT	PASS YDS	PASS TD	INT	CAR	RUSH YDS	RUSH TD
Week 1	DET	W 27–13	16	22	188	2	0	2	5	0
Week 2	WAS	W 27–18	19	31	292	2	0	1	14	0
Week 3	@CLE	L 10–13	18	25	183	1	1	3	19	0
Week 4	@DAL	T 40–40	31	43	337	3	0	2	29	0
Week 6	CIN	W 27–18	19	26	259	1	1	6	26	0
Week 7	@ARI	W 27–23	19	29	179	1	0	3	23	0
Week 8	@PIT	W 35–25	29	38	360	3	0	—	—	—
Week 9	CAR	L 13–16	26	37	273	0	1	1	1	0
Week 10	PHI	L 7–10	20	35	176	0	0	5	28	0
Week 11	@NYG	W 27–20	13	25	174	2	0	2	7	0
Week 12	MIN	W 23–6	14	21	139	0	0	2	16	0
Week 13	@DET	W 31–24	18	30	234	4	0	2	7	0
Week 14	CHI	W 28–21	17	25	234	3	1	—	—	—
Week 15	@DEN	L 26–34	24	40	276	1	2	3	29	0
Week 16	@CHI	L 16–22	8	13	77	0	0	2	7	0
Week 19	@CHI	L 27–31	24	46	323	4	0	1	11	0
15 games			315	486	3704	27	6	35	222	0