Denver BroncosOLB

JonahElliss

6'2"246 lbAge 233 seasonsUtahDraft 2024 · R3 P76
Week 4 ProjectionBFIQ model
@ 49ers · Sun, Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET
Solo Tackles0.8
Assist Tackles1
Sacks0.2

Backfield IQ model: 2025 per-game production adjusted for opponent defense.

Shared model
Joint roster forecast
Guarded specialist marginals across both complete rosters
Relational
Offensive snaps
1%
Defensive snaps
40%
Solo tackles1.06P10–P90 0.0–3.0
Assist tackles1.52P10–P90 0.0–3.0
Sacks0.06P10–P90 0.0–0.0

Ranges integrate uncertainty in game environment, team volume, participation, allocation, and conversion. Context links show learned attention, not isolated causal effects.

The game around the player
Role across game environments.
How the same player changes when the game script changes.
97%
Any-snap probability
LB
Pregame role
Assisted tackles
opponent plays change tackle chances; defensive role and tackle-credit rate remain player-specific
1.37 → 1.67
One-score game · defensive · slow
SF controls · high scoring · fast
Solo tackles
opponent plays change tackle chances; defensive role and tackle-credit rate remain player-specific
0.95 → 1.16
One-score game · defensive · slow
SF controls · high scoring · fast
Sacks
opponent dropbacks change rush chances; participation, pressure allocation and finish remain player-specific
0.05 → 0.06
SF controls · balanced · neutral pace
DEN controls · balanced · neutral pace

Scenario means integrate back to the guarded player distribution. “Validated” is awarded per market; a descriptive forecast is not automatically a betting signal.

This season

2026 Game Log

WeekOppResultSOLOAST
Week 1@KCL 10–31—1
Week 2JAXW 20–1312
Week 3LAW 30–2621
3 games34
Performance history

2025 Game Log

WeekOppResultSOLOASTSACK
Week 1TENW 20–121—1
Week 2@INDL 28–291——
Week 3@LACL 20–231——
Week 5@PHIW 21–1711—
Week 8DALW 44–2411—
Week 14@LVW 24–17—2—
Week 15GBW 34–262—1
Week 16JAXL 20–3412—
Week 17@KCW 20–13110.5
Week 18LACW 19–3—1—
Week 20BUFW 33–3011—
Week 21NEL 7–101——
13 games1192.5