JakeBates

5'10"205 lbAge 273 seasonsArkansasUndrafted

Week 4 ProjectionBFIQ model

@ Panthers · Sun, Oct 4 · 8:20 PM ET

Projected fantasy pointsPPR scoring9.6

Field Goals1.8

FG Attempts2.2

Extra Points4.2

Backfield IQ model: 2025 per-game production adjusted for opponent defense.

Shared model

Joint roster forecast

Guarded specialist marginals across both complete rosters

Relational

Offensive snaps

Defensive snaps

FG attempts1.26P10–P90 0.0–3.0

Field goals1.09P10–P90 0.0–3.0

Strongest learned context

Jared Goff · team Zach Wilson · opp Spencer Rattler · opp Juwan Johnson · opp Travis Etienne · opp Alim McNeill · team Roger McCreary · team Trevor Nowaske · team

Ranges integrate uncertainty in game environment, team volume, participation, allocation, and conversion. Context links show learned attention, not isolated causal effects.

The game around the player

Role across game environments.

How the same player changes when the game script changes.

Open matchup

Any-snap probability

Pregame role

The current role has no material stat allocation in this matchup. A zero forecast is still an explicit probabilistic inference, not a missing player.

Scenario means integrate back to the guarded player distribution. “Validated” is awarded per market; a descriptive forecast is not automatically a betting signal.

This season

2026 Game Log

Week	Opp	Result	FGM	FGA	XPM
Week 1	NO	W 31–30	1	1	4
Week 2	DET	W 41–31	1	1	4
Week 3	@DET	L 24–31	1	1	4
3 games			3	3	12

Performance history

2025 Game Log

Week	Opp	Result	FGM	FGA	XPM
Week 1	DET	W 27–13	2	2	1
Week 2	CHI	W 52–21	1	2	7
Week 3	@BAL	W 38–30	1	2	5
Week 4	CLE	W 34–10	2	2	4
Week 5	@CIN	W 37–24	—	—	5
Week 6	@KC	L 17–30	1	1	2
Week 7	TB	W 24–9	1	2	3
Week 9	MIN	L 24–27	1	2	3
Week 10	DET	L 22–44	3	3	3
Week 11	DET	W 16–9	1	1	—
Week 12	@DET	L 27–34	2	2	4
Week 13	@DET	W 31–24	1	1	3
Week 14	DAL	W 44–30	3	4	5
Week 15	@LA	L 34–41	2	3	4
Week 16	PIT	L 24–29	1	1	3
Week 17	DET	W 23–10	1	1	1
Week 18	@CHI	W 19–16	4	5	1
17 games			27	34	54