Green Bay PackersEDGE

LukasVan Ness

6'5"272 lbAge 254 seasonsIowaDraft 2023 · R1 P13
Week 4 ProjectionBFIQ model
@ Buccaneers · Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET
Solo Tackles2.3
Assist Tackles1.2
Sacks0.5

Backfield IQ model: 2025 per-game production adjusted for opponent defense.

Shared model
Joint roster forecast
Guarded specialist marginals across both complete rosters
Relational
Offensive snaps
1%
Defensive snaps
89%
Solo tackles1.34P10–P90 0.0–3.0
Assist tackles1.06P10–P90 0.0–3.0
Sacks0.16P10–P90 0.0–1.0

Ranges integrate uncertainty in game environment, team volume, participation, allocation, and conversion. Context links show learned attention, not isolated causal effects.

The game around the player
Role across game environments.
How the same player changes when the game script changes.
99%
Any-snap probability
LB
Pregame role
Solo tackles
opponent plays change tackle chances; defensive role and tackle-credit rate remain player-specific
1.21 → 1.46
GB controls · defensive · slow
One-score game · high scoring · fast
Assisted tackles
opponent plays change tackle chances; defensive role and tackle-credit rate remain player-specific
0.95 → 1.16
GB controls · defensive · slow
One-score game · high scoring · fast
Sacks
opponent dropbacks change rush chances; participation, pressure allocation and finish remain player-specific
0.15 → 0.18
TB controls · balanced · neutral pace
GB controls · balanced · neutral pace

Scenario means integrate back to the guarded player distribution. “Validated” is awarded per market; a descriptive forecast is not automatically a betting signal.

This season

2026 Game Log

WeekOppResultSOLOASTSACK
Week 1@MINL 22–394—1
Week 2@NYJW 20–17431.5
Week 3ATLL 14–3513—
3 games962.5
Performance history

2025 Game Log

WeekOppResultSOLOASTSACK
Week 1DETW 27–13130.5
Week 2WASW 27–183——
Week 3@CLEL 10–1311—
Week 6CINW 27–18111
Week 15@DENL 26–342——
Week 17BALL 24–4142—
Week 19@CHIL 27–31121
9 games1392.5