Week 1 ProjectionBFIQ model
vs Packers · Sun, Sep 13 · 4:25 PM ET
Projected fantasy pointsPPR scoring8.4
Carries9.9
Rush Yards49.6
Rush TDs0.4
Receptions0.8
Receiving Yards2.9
Assist Tackles0.1
Backfield IQ model: 2025 per-game production adjusted for opponent defense.
Shared model
Joint roster forecast
Guarded specialist marginals across both complete rosters
Offensive snaps
21%
Defensive snaps
1%
Carries9.08P10–P90 3.0–16.0
Rush yards54.6P10–P90 0.0–120.1
Rush TDs0.51P10–P90 0.0–2.0
Targets0.50P10–P90 0.0–1.0
Receptions0.67P10–P90 0.0–2.0
Receiving yards3.54P10–P90 0.0–9.3
Strongest learned context
Ranges integrate uncertainty in game environment, team volume, participation, allocation, and conversion. Context links show learned attention, not isolated causal effects.
Public receipt
2025 Projection Report Card
Walk-forward: each week projected using only prior data
Rush Yards
±25.2avg miss · 16 wks
Receptions
±0.8avg miss · 14 wks
Receiving Yards
±4.3avg miss · 16 wks
This season
2026 Game Log
Performance history