Week 1 ProjectionBFIQ model
vs Saints · Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET
Projected fantasy pointsPPR scoring6.9
Carries9.1
Rush Yards36.9
Rush TDs0.1
Receptions1.3
Receiving Yards6.7
Receiving TDs0.1
Backfield IQ model: 2025 per-game production adjusted for opponent defense.
Shared model
Joint roster forecast
Guarded specialist marginals across both complete rosters
Offensive snaps
23%
Defensive snaps
6%
Carries8.89P10–P90 3.0–15.0
Rush yards36.0P10–P90 0.0–79.5
Rush TDs0.14P10–P90 0.0–1.0
Targets1.36P10–P90 0.0–3.0
Receptions1.30P10–P90 0.0–3.0
Receiving yards7.65P10–P90 0.9–17.9
Receiving TDs0.09P10–P90 0.0–0.0
Strongest learned context
Ranges integrate uncertainty in game environment, team volume, participation, allocation, and conversion. Context links show learned attention, not isolated causal effects.
Public receipt
2025 Projection Report Card
Walk-forward: each week projected using only prior data
Rush Yards
±10.8avg miss · 13 wks
Receptions
±1.1avg miss · 13 wks
Receiving Yards
±9.5avg miss · 13 wks
This season
2026 Game Log
No 2026 game data recorded.
Performance history