Denver BroncosDB

DevonKey

6'0"208 lbAge 283 seasonsWestern KentuckyUndrafted
Week 4 ProjectionBFIQ model
@ 49ers · Sun, Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET
Solo Tackles0.1

Backfield IQ model: 2025 per-game production adjusted for opponent defense.

Shared model
Joint roster forecast
Guarded specialist marginals across both complete rosters
Relational
Offensive snaps
0%
Defensive snaps
4%
Solo tackles1.02P10–P90 0.0–2.0
Assist tackles0.69P10–P90 0.0–2.0

Ranges integrate uncertainty in game environment, team volume, participation, allocation, and conversion. Context links show learned attention, not isolated causal effects.

The game around the player
Role across game environments.
How the same player changes when the game script changes.
49%
Any-snap probability
DB
Pregame role
Assisted tackles
opponent plays change tackle chances; defensive role and tackle-credit rate remain player-specific
0.62 → 0.76
One-score game · defensive · slow
SF controls · high scoring · fast
Solo tackles
opponent plays change tackle chances; defensive role and tackle-credit rate remain player-specific
0.92 → 1.12
One-score game · defensive · slow
SF controls · high scoring · fast
Sacks
opponent dropbacks change rush chances; participation, pressure allocation and finish remain player-specific
0.00 → 0.00
SF controls · balanced · neutral pace
DEN controls · balanced · neutral pace

Scenario means integrate back to the guarded player distribution. “Validated” is awarded per market; a descriptive forecast is not automatically a betting signal.

This season

2026 Game Log

WeekOppResult
Week 3LAW 30–26
1 games
Performance history

2025 Game Log

WeekOppResultSOLOAST
Week 18LACW 19–32—
Week 20BUFW 33–301—
Week 21NEL 7–102—
17 games50