Denver BroncosILB

JustinStrnad

6'3"235 lbAge 307 seasonsWake ForestDraft 2020 · R5 P178
Week 4 ProjectionBFIQ model
@ 49ers · Sun, Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET
Solo Tackles1.6
Assist Tackles2.7
Sacks0.3

Backfield IQ model: 2025 per-game production adjusted for opponent defense.

Shared model
Joint roster forecast
Guarded specialist marginals across both complete rosters
Relational
Offensive snaps
1%
Defensive snaps
48%
Solo tackles1.79P10–P90 0.0–4.0
Assist tackles2.20P10–P90 0.0–5.0
Sacks0.04P10–P90 0.0–0.0

Ranges integrate uncertainty in game environment, team volume, participation, allocation, and conversion. Context links show learned attention, not isolated causal effects.

The game around the player
Role across game environments.
How the same player changes when the game script changes.
98%
Any-snap probability
LB
Pregame role
Assisted tackles
opponent plays change tackle chances; defensive role and tackle-credit rate remain player-specific
1.97 → 2.41
One-score game · defensive · slow
SF controls · high scoring · fast
Solo tackles
opponent plays change tackle chances; defensive role and tackle-credit rate remain player-specific
1.61 → 1.96
One-score game · defensive · slow
SF controls · high scoring · fast
Sacks
opponent dropbacks change rush chances; participation, pressure allocation and finish remain player-specific
0.03 → 0.04
SF controls · balanced · neutral pace
DEN controls · balanced · neutral pace

Scenario means integrate back to the guarded player distribution. “Validated” is awarded per market; a descriptive forecast is not automatically a betting signal.

This season

2026 Game Log

WeekOppResultSOLOAST
Week 1@KCL 10–3112
Week 2JAXW 20–1324
Week 3LAW 30–264—
3 games76
Performance history

2025 Game Log

WeekOppResultSOLOASTSACK
Week 1TENW 20–12221
Week 2@INDL 28–29231
Week 3@LACL 20–23—5—
Week 4CINW 28–312—
Week 5@PHIW 21–17—1—
Week 6@NYJW 13–11141.5
Week 7NYGW 33–3222—
Week 8DALW 44–2412—
Week 9@HOUW 18–152——
Week 11KCW 22–1946—
Week 14@LVW 24–171——
Week 18LACW 19–3341
Week 20BUFW 33–301——
Week 21NEL 7–10—3—
16 games20344.5