ChaseMcLaughlin

6'0"190 lbAge 308 seasonsIllinoisUndrafted

Week 4 ProjectionBFIQ model

vs Packers · Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET

Projected fantasy pointsPPR scoring10.2

Field Goals2.6

FG Attempts3

Extra Points2.4

Backfield IQ model: 2025 per-game production adjusted for opponent defense.

Shared model

Joint roster forecast

Guarded specialist marginals across both complete rosters

Relational

Offensive snaps

Defensive snaps

FG attempts2.36P10–P90 0.0–4.0

Field goals2.18P10–P90 0.0–4.0

Strongest learned context

Josiah Trotter · team David Walker · team Rueben Bain · team Caden Fordham · team Erick All · opp Drew Sample · opp Chase Brown · opp Joe Burrow · opp

Ranges integrate uncertainty in game environment, team volume, participation, allocation, and conversion. Context links show learned attention, not isolated causal effects.

The game around the player

Role across game environments.

How the same player changes when the game script changes.

Open matchup

53%

Any-snap probability

Pregame role

The current role has no material stat allocation in this matchup. A zero forecast is still an explicit probabilistic inference, not a missing player.

Scenario means integrate back to the guarded player distribution. “Validated” is awarded per market; a descriptive forecast is not automatically a betting signal.

This season

2026 Game Log

Week	Opp	Result	FGM	FGA	XPM
Week 1	@CIN	L 27–33	2	2	3
Week 2	@TB	W 23–19	4	4	1
Week 3	@TB	W 23–16	3	3	1
3 games			9	9	5

Performance history

2025 Game Log

Week	Opp	Result	FGM	FGA	XPM
Week 1	TB	L 20–23	1	2	2
Week 2	TB	L 19–20	—	1	2
Week 3	@TB	L 27–29	5	6	2
Week 4	PHI	L 25–31	3	3	2
Week 5	@SEA	W 38–35	3	3	3
Week 6	SF	W 30–19	1	2	3
Week 7	TB	W 24–9	1	1	—
Week 8	TB	L 3–23	3	3	2
Week 10	NE	L 23–28	1	1	2
Week 11	@BUF	L 32–44	2	2	2
Week 12	@LA	L 7–34	—	—	1
Week 13	ARI	W 20–17	2	2	2
Week 14	@TB	W 24–20	2	2	2
Week 15	ATL	L 28–29	2	2	2
Week 16	TB	W 23–20	2	2	2
Week 17	TB	W 20–17	1	2	2
Week 18	CAR	W 16–14	3	4	1
17 games			32	38	32