New England PatriotsS

KevinByard III

5'11"212 lbAge 3311 seasonsMiddle Tennessee StateDraft 2016 · R3 P64
Week 4 ProjectionBFIQ model
@ Bills · Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET
Solo Tackles3.9
Assist Tackles2.5

Backfield IQ model: 2025 per-game production adjusted for opponent defense.

Shared model
Joint roster forecast
Guarded specialist marginals across both complete rosters
Relational
Offensive snaps
1%
Defensive snaps
72%
Solo tackles3.54P10–P90 1.0–6.0
Assist tackles2.29P10–P90 0.0–5.0

Ranges integrate uncertainty in game environment, team volume, participation, allocation, and conversion. Context links show learned attention, not isolated causal effects.

The game around the player
Role across game environments.
How the same player changes when the game script changes.
99%
Any-snap probability
DB
Pregame role
Solo tackles
opponent plays change tackle chances; defensive role and tackle-credit rate remain player-specific
3.19 → 3.90
One-score game · defensive · slow
BUF controls · high scoring · fast
Assisted tackles
opponent plays change tackle chances; defensive role and tackle-credit rate remain player-specific
2.06 → 2.52
One-score game · defensive · slow
BUF controls · high scoring · fast
Sacks
opponent dropbacks change rush chances; participation, pressure allocation and finish remain player-specific
0.01 → 0.01
BUF controls · balanced · neutral pace
One-score game · balanced · neutral pace

Scenario means integrate back to the guarded player distribution. “Validated” is awarded per market; a descriptive forecast is not automatically a betting signal.

This season

2026 Game Log

WeekOppResultSOLOAST
Week 1@SEAL 10–1323
Week 2PITW 20–322
Week 3@JAXL 6–3532
3 games77
Performance history

2025 Game Log

WeekOppResultSOLOASTINT
Week 1MINL 24–275——
Week 2@DETL 21–5231—
Week 3DALW 31–14521
Week 4@LVW 25–24522
Week 6@WASW 25–2423—
Week 7NOW 26–14111
Week 8@BALL 16–3042—
Week 9@CINW 47–424——
Week 10NYGW 24–2051—
Week 11@MINW 19–17231
Week 12PITW 31–2832—
Week 13@PHIW 24–15421
Week 14@GBL 21–2861—
Week 15CLEW 31–32——
Week 16GBW 22–1654—
Week 17@SFL 38–42—2—
Week 18DETL 16–19261
Week 19GBW 31–2723—
Week 20LAL 17–2041—
17 games64367