RashidShaheed

6'0"180 lbAge 285 seasonsWeber StateUndrafted

Week 4 ProjectionBFIQ model

vs Chargers · Sun, Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET

Projected fantasy pointsPPR scoring6.6

Carries0.5

Rush Yards3

Receptions2.7

Receiving Yards30.2

Receiving TDs0.1

Solo Tackles0

Backfield IQ model: 2025 per-game production adjusted for opponent defense.

Shared model

Joint roster forecast

Guarded specialist marginals across both complete rosters

Relational

Offensive snaps

50%

Defensive snaps

Carries0.43P10–P90 0.0–1.0

Rush yards3.29P10–P90 0.0–6.8

Targets3.96P10–P90 1.0–7.0

Receptions2.58P10–P90 1.0–5.0

Receiving yards39.0P10–P90 8.1–69.8

Receiving TDs0.24P10–P90 0.0–1.0

Strongest learned context

Andy Borregales · opp Mike Morris · team Brandon Pili · team Connor O'Toole · team Rylie Mills · team Joshua Farmer · opp Tommy DeVito · opp Reggie Gilliam · opp

Ranges integrate uncertainty in game environment, team volume, participation, allocation, and conversion. Context links show learned attention, not isolated causal effects.

The game around the player

Role across game environments.

How the same player changes when the game script changes.

Open matchup

98%

Any-snap probability

RECEIVER

Pregame role

Rush yards

carry opportunity moves with run volume; blocker/front matchup and gain efficiency remain player-specific

2.61 → 3.98

One-score game · defensive · slow

SEA controls · high scoring · fast

Receiving yards

target opportunity moves with pass volume; depth, catchability and YAC remain player-specific

32.6 → 45.6

One-score game · defensive · slow

SEA controls · high scoring · fast

Carries

team run volume changes package exposure; backfield handoff competition remains player-specific

0.38 → 0.48

One-score game · defensive · slow

SEA controls · high scoring · fast

Receptions

route and target opportunity move with pass volume; catch conversion remains player-specific

2.36 → 2.81

SEA controls · balanced · neutral pace

One-score game · balanced · neutral pace

Scenario means integrate back to the guarded player distribution. “Validated” is awarded per market; a descriptive forecast is not automatically a betting signal.

Public receipt

2025 Projection Report Card

Walk-forward: each week projected using only prior data

Rush Yards

±5.6avg miss · 18 wks

Receptions

±1.8avg miss · 18 wks

Receiving Yards

±29.6avg miss · 18 wks

This season

2026 Game Log

Week	Opp	Result	TGT	REC	REC YDS
Week 1	NE	W 13–10	3	1	4
Week 2	@ARI	W 31–7	6	3	35
Week 3	@WAS	L 31–33	3	2	14
3 games			12	6	53

Performance history

2025 Game Log

Week	Opp	Result	CAR	RUSH YDS	RUSH TD	TGT	REC	REC YDS	REC TD
Week 1	ARI	L 13–20	—	—	—	9	6	33	0
Week 2	SF	L 21–26	—	—	—	5	4	52	1
Week 3	@SEA	L 13–44	—	—	—	6	4	42	0
Week 4	@BUF	L 19–31	2	5	0	5	4	47	0
Week 5	NYG	W 26–14	—	—	—	5	4	114	1
Week 6	NE	L 19–25	—	—	—	6	4	28	0
Week 7	@CHI	L 14–26	—	—	—	9	4	40	0
Week 8	TB	L 3–23	—	—	—	12	9	75	0
Week 9	@LA	L 10–34	—	—	—	9	5	68	0
Week 10	ARI	W 44–22	2	20	0	1	1	3	0
Week 11	@LA	L 19–21	1	2	0	5	2	27	0
Week 12	@TEN	W 30–24	1	5	0	2	0	0	0
Week 13	MIN	W 26–0	1	9	0	3	1	7	0
Week 14	@ATL	W 37–9	—	—	—	5	4	67	0
Week 15	IND	W 18–16	1	-3	0	7	5	74	0
Week 16	LA	W 38–37	1	31	0	1	0	0	0
Week 17	@CAR	W 27–10	—	—	—	1	1	8	0
Week 18	@SF	W 13–3	—	—	—	1	1	2	0
Week 20	SF	W 41–6	2	27	0	2	0	0	0
Week 21	LA	W 31–27	1	0	0	3	1	51	0
Week 22	@NE	W 29–13	1	-5	0	5	2	27	0
18 games			13	91	0	102	62	765	2