Week 4 ProjectionBFIQ model
@ Commanders · Sun, Oct 4 · 9:30 AM ET
Projected fantasy pointsPPR scoring14.0
Field Goals3.4
FG Attempts3.6
Extra Points3.8
Backfield IQ model: 2025 per-game production adjusted for opponent defense.
Shared model
Joint roster forecast
Guarded specialist marginals across both complete rosters
Offensive snaps
3%
Defensive snaps
1%
FG attempts1.64P10–P90 0.0–3.0
Field goals1.59P10–P90 0.0–3.0
Strongest learned context
Ranges integrate uncertainty in game environment, team volume, participation, allocation, and conversion. Context links show learned attention, not isolated causal effects.
The game around the player
Role across game environments.
How the same player changes when the game script changes.
44%
Any-snap probability
K
Pregame role
The current role has no material stat allocation in this matchup. A zero forecast is still an explicit probabilistic inference, not a missing player.
Scenario means integrate back to the guarded player distribution. “Validated” is awarded per market; a descriptive forecast is not automatically a betting signal.
This season
2026 Game Log
Performance history