Wan'DaleRobinson

5'8"185 lbAge 255 seasonsKentuckyDraft 2022 · R2 P43

Week 4 ProjectionBFIQ model

@ Ravens · Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET

Projected fantasy pointsPPR scoring13.6

Carries0.1

Rush Yards0.2

Receptions6

Receiving Yards63.7

Receiving TDs0.2

Solo Tackles0.1

Backfield IQ model: 2025 per-game production adjusted for opponent defense.

Shared model

Joint roster forecast

Guarded specialist marginals across both complete rosters

Relational

Offensive snaps

85%

Defensive snaps

Carries0.14P10–P90 0.0–1.0

Rush yards0.30P10–P90 0.0–3.8

Targets6.73P10–P90 3.0–11.0

Receptions4.93P10–P90 2.0–8.0

Receiving yards52.5P10–P90 21.7–83.3

Receiving TDs0.17P10–P90 0.0–1.0

Strongest learned context

Truman Jones · team Chukwuma Okorafor · opp Jeffery Simmons · team Blake Grupe · opp Austin McNamara · opp Max Mitchell · opp Tommy Townsend · team James Williams · team

Ranges integrate uncertainty in game environment, team volume, participation, allocation, and conversion. Context links show learned attention, not isolated causal effects.

The game around the player

Role across game environments.

How the same player changes when the game script changes.

Open matchup

99%

Any-snap probability

RECEIVER

Pregame role

Rush yards

carry opportunity moves with run volume; blocker/front matchup and gain efficiency remain player-specific

0.24 → 0.37

BAL controls · balanced · neutral pace

One-score game · balanced · neutral pace

Receiving yards

target opportunity moves with pass volume; depth, catchability and YAC remain player-specific

43.3 → 63.3

BAL controls · defensive · slow

BAL controls · high scoring · fast

Receptions

route and target opportunity move with pass volume; catch conversion remains player-specific

4.35 → 5.51

BAL controls · defensive · slow

BAL controls · high scoring · fast

Targets

team pass volume changes route opportunity; teammate target competition remains player-specific

5.94 → 7.52

BAL controls · defensive · slow

BAL controls · high scoring · fast

Scenario means integrate back to the guarded player distribution. “Validated” is awarded per market; a descriptive forecast is not automatically a betting signal.

Public receipt

2025 Projection Report Card

Walk-forward: each week projected using only prior data

Rush Yards

±1.5avg miss · 4 wks

Receptions

±2.2avg miss · 16 wks

Receiving Yards

±34.4avg miss · 16 wks

This season

2026 Game Log

Week	Opp	Result	TGT	REC	REC YDS	REC TD
Week 1	NYJ	L 10–23	6	5	38	0
Week 2	PHI	L 20–24	1	1	9	0
Week 3	@NYG	L 7–12	11	7	57	1
3 games			18	13	104	1

Performance history

2025 Game Log

Week	Opp	Result	CAR	RUSH YDS	RUSH TD	TGT	REC	REC YDS	REC TD
Week 1	@WAS	L 6–21	—	—	—	8	6	55	0
Week 2	@DAL	L 37–40	—	—	—	10	8	142	1
Week 3	KC	L 9–22	—	—	—	4	1	26	0
Week 4	LAC	W 21–18	—	—	—	5	3	14	0
Week 5	@NO	L 14–26	1	2	0	7	5	30	0
Week 6	PHI	W 34–17	—	—	—	7	6	84	1
Week 7	@DEN	L 32–33	—	—	—	13	6	95	0
Week 8	@PHI	L 20–38	—	—	—	4	3	48	0
Week 9	SF	L 24–34	—	—	—	11	9	46	0
Week 10	@CHI	L 20–24	—	—	—	11	6	62	0
Week 11	GB	L 20–27	—	—	—	9	4	36	0
Week 12	@DET	L 27–34	1	0	0	14	9	156	1
Week 13	@NE	L 15–33	—	—	—	8	7	34	0
Week 15	WAS	L 21–29	—	—	—	10	5	54	1
Week 16	MIN	L 13–16	1	3	0	6	3	19	0
Week 17	@LV	W 34–10	—	—	—	14	11	113	0
16 games			3	5	0	141	92	1014	4