AlecPierce

6'3"211 lbAge 265 seasonsCincinnatiDraft 2022 · R2 P53

Week 1 ProjectionBFIQ model

vs Ravens · Sun, Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET

Projected fantasy pointsPPR scoring14.3

Receptions3.6

Receiving Yards76.9

Receiving TDs0.5

Solo Tackles0.2

Backfield IQ model: 2025 per-game production adjusted for opponent defense.

Shared model

Joint roster forecast

Guarded specialist marginals across both complete rosters

Relational

Offensive snaps

88%

Defensive snaps

Rush yards0.26P10–P90 0.0–0.4

Targets4.71P10–P90 2.0–8.0

Receptions2.91P10–P90 1.0–5.0

Receiving yards73.1P10–P90 27.7–127.2

Receiving TDs0.25P10–P90 0.0–1.0

Strongest learned context

Camryn Bynum · team Tyler Loop · opp Laiatu Latu · team Adetomiwa Adebawore · team Elijah Sarratt · opp Ja'Kobi Lane · opp Nick Moore · opp Jaylon Carlies · team

Ranges integrate uncertainty in game environment, team volume, participation, allocation, and conversion. Context links show learned attention, not isolated causal effects.

Public receipt

2025 Projection Report Card

Walk-forward: each week projected using only prior data

Receptions

±1.8avg miss · 15 wks

Receiving Yards

±33.3avg miss · 15 wks

This season

2026 Game Log

Week	Opp	Result	TGT	REC	REC YDS
Week 1	BAL	L 23–41	6	4	61
Week 2	@KC	L 30–33	1	1	11
2 games			7	5	72

Performance history

2025 Game Log

Week	Opp	Result	TGT	REC	REC YDS	REC TD	SOLO	AST
Week 1	MIA	W 33–8	3	1	36	0	—	—
Week 2	DEN	W 29–28	5	4	68	0	—	—
Week 3	@TEN	W 41–20	5	4	67	0	—	—
Week 6	ARI	W 31–27	4	2	48	0	—	—
Week 7	@LAC	W 38–24	10	5	98	0	—	—
Week 8	TEN	W 38–14	5	2	69	0	—	—
Week 9	@PIT	L 20–27	13	6	115	0	1	—
Week 10	ATL	W 31–25	7	4	84	1	1	—
Week 12	@KC	L 20–23	2	1	26	0	—	—
Week 13	HOU	L 16–20	5	4	78	1	—	—
Week 14	@JAX	L 19–36	8	5	80	0	1	—
Week 15	@SEA	L 16–18	1	1	16	0	—	—
Week 16	SF	L 27–48	4	4	86	2	—	—
Week 17	JAX	L 17–23	5	0	0	0	—	—
Week 18	@HOU	L 30–38	7	4	132	2	—	—
15 games			84	47	1003	6	3	0