New England PatriotsWR

A.J.Brown

6'1"226 lbAge 298 seasonsMississippiDraft 2019 · R2 P51
Week 1 ProjectionBFIQ model
@ Seahawks · Wed, Sep 9 · 8:20 PM ET
Projected fantasy pointsPPR scoring13.6
Receptions4.9
Receiving Yards62.8
Receiving TDs0.4

Backfield IQ model: 2025 per-game production adjusted for opponent defense.

Shared model
Joint roster forecast
Guarded specialist marginals across both complete rosters
Relational
Offensive snaps
84%
Defensive snaps
1%
Rush yards0.30P10–P90 0.0–0.5
Targets6.73P10–P90 3.0–11.0
Receptions5.43P10–P90 2.0–9.0
Receiving yards91.5P10–P90 37.6–153.8
Receiving TDs0.38P10–P90 0.0–1.0

Ranges integrate uncertainty in game environment, team volume, participation, allocation, and conversion. Context links show learned attention, not isolated causal effects.

Public receipt
2025 Projection Report Card
Walk-forward: each week projected using only prior data
Receptions
±2.1avg miss · 15 wks
Receiving Yards
±38.1avg miss · 15 wks
This season

2026 Game Log

WeekOppResultTGTRECREC YDSREC TD
Week 1@SEAL 10–1343260
1 games43260
Performance history

2025 Game Log

WeekOppResultTGTRECREC YDSREC TD
Week 1DALW 24–201180
Week 2@KCW 20–1785270
Week 3LAW 33–261061091
Week 4@TBW 31–259270
Week 5DENL 17–2185430
Week 6@NYGL 17–3496800
Week 7@MINW 28–22641212
Week 10@GBW 10–732130
Week 11DETW 16–9117490
Week 12@DALL 21–241081101
Week 13CHIL 15–2412101322
Week 14@LACL 19–221361000
Week 15LVW 31–022411
Week 16@WASW 29–18129950
Week 17@BUFW 13–1275680
Week 19SFL 19–2373250
15 games1288110287