JakobiMeyers

6'2"200 lbAge 298 seasonsN.C. StateUndrafted

Week 4 ProjectionBFIQ model

@ Bengals · Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET

Projected fantasy pointsPPR scoring11.8

Carries0.3

Rush Yards1

Receptions4.5

Receiving Yards54.4

Receiving TDs0.3

Assist Tackles0.1

Backfield IQ model: 2025 per-game production adjusted for opponent defense.

Shared model

Joint roster forecast

Guarded specialist marginals across both complete rosters

Relational

Offensive snaps

84%

Defensive snaps

Carries0.40P10–P90 0.0–1.0

Rush yards0.89P10–P90 0.0–4.4

Targets5.35P10–P90 2.0–9.0

Receptions4.05P10–P90 1.0–7.0

Receiving yards62.0P10–P90 31.2–92.8

Receiving TDs0.23P10–P90 0.0–1.0

Strongest learned context

Rex Sunahara · opp Antonio Johnson · team Shedeur Sanders · opp Spencer Fano · opp Ruke Orhorhoro · team Parker Brailsford · opp DaVon Hamilton · team Montaric Brown · team

Ranges integrate uncertainty in game environment, team volume, participation, allocation, and conversion. Context links show learned attention, not isolated causal effects.

The game around the player

Role across game environments.

How the same player changes when the game script changes.

Open matchup

99%

Any-snap probability

RECEIVER

Pregame role

Receiving yards

target opportunity moves with pass volume; depth, catchability and YAC remain player-specific

51.6 → 73.5

One-score game · defensive · slow

CIN controls · high scoring · fast

Rush yards

carry opportunity moves with run volume; blocker/front matchup and gain efficiency remain player-specific

0.73 → 1.04

CIN controls · balanced · neutral pace

JAX controls · balanced · neutral pace

Targets

team pass volume changes route opportunity; teammate target competition remains player-specific

4.70 → 6.04

One-score game · defensive · slow

CIN controls · high scoring · fast

Receptions

route and target opportunity move with pass volume; catch conversion remains player-specific

3.56 → 4.57

One-score game · defensive · slow

CIN controls · high scoring · fast

Scenario means integrate back to the guarded player distribution. “Validated” is awarded per market; a descriptive forecast is not automatically a betting signal.

Public receipt

2025 Projection Report Card

Walk-forward: each week projected using only prior data

Rush Yards

±1.9avg miss · 11 wks

Receptions

±1.2avg miss · 16 wks

Receiving Yards

±22.2avg miss · 16 wks

This season

2026 Game Log

Week	Opp	Result	TGT	REC	REC YDS	REC TD
Week 1	CLE	W 34–10	2	2	40	1
Week 2	@DEN	L 13–20	1	1	28	0
Week 3	NE	W 35–6	8	7	64	1
3 games			11	10	132	2

Performance history

2025 Game Log

Week	Opp	Result	CAR	RUSH YDS	RUSH TD	TGT	REC	REC YDS	REC TD
Week 1	@NE	W 20–13	—	—	—	10	8	97	0
Week 2	LAC	L 9–20	—	—	—	12	6	68	0
Week 3	@WAS	L 24–41	—	—	—	4	3	63	0
Week 4	CHI	L 24–25	—	—	—	7	4	30	0
Week 5	@IND	L 6–40	—	—	—	6	4	32	0
Week 6	TEN	W 20–10	—	—	—	4	4	39	0
Week 9	JAX	L 29–30	—	—	—	6	4	23	0
Week 10	@HOU	L 29–36	—	—	—	3	3	41	0
Week 11	LAC	W 35–6	—	—	—	6	5	64	0
Week 12	@ARI	W 27–24	—	—	—	6	4	50	1
Week 13	@TEN	W 25–3	1	3	0	6	6	90	1
Week 14	IND	W 36–19	3	9	0	10	4	39	1
Week 15	NYJ	W 48–20	—	—	—	7	5	71	0
Week 16	@DEN	W 34–20	1	1	0	8	4	45	0
Week 17	@IND	W 23–17	—	—	—	9	6	39	0
Week 18	TEN	W 41–7	—	—	—	6	5	44	0
Week 19	BUF	L 24–27	—	—	—	4	1	12	0
16 games			5	13	0	114	76	847	3