Week 4 ProjectionBFIQ model
vs Cardinals · Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET
Projected fantasy pointsPPR scoring13.2
Pass Attempts23.2
Completions12.9
Pass Yards182.8
Pass TDs0.5
Interceptions0.8
Carries1.8
Rush Yards7.4
Rush TDs0.3
Receptions0.3
Receiving Yards8.9
Receiving TDs0.3
Backfield IQ model: 2025 per-game production adjusted for opponent defense.
Shared model
Joint roster forecast
Guarded specialist marginals across both complete rosters
Offensive snaps
84%
Defensive snaps
1%
Pass attempts28.8P10–P90 16.0–43.0
Completions16.4P10–P90 9.0–24.0
Pass yards199.3P10–P90 104.4–294.1
Pass TDs0.81P10–P90 0.0–2.0
Interceptions1.15P10–P90 0.0–3.0
Carries2.32P10–P90 0.0–5.0
Rush yards6.71P10–P90 0.0–30.8
Rush TDs0.05P10–P90 0.0–0.0
Strongest learned context
Ranges integrate uncertainty in game environment, team volume, participation, allocation, and conversion. Context links show learned attention, not isolated causal effects.
The game around the player
Role across game environments.
How the same player changes when the game script changes.
99%
Any-snap probability
QB
Pregame role
Rush yards
carry opportunity moves with run volume; blocker/front matchup and gain efficiency remain player-specific
5.12 → 8.30
ARI controls · defensive · slow
One-score game · high scoring · fast
Pass yards
team pass volume changes attempts; conditional passing efficiency remains player-specific
163.1 → 232.6
ARI controls · defensive · slow
One-score game · high scoring · fast
Carries
team run volume changes package exposure; backfield handoff competition remains player-specific
2.01 → 2.64
ARI controls · defensive · slow
One-score game · high scoring · fast
Pass attempts
drive pace changes team dropbacks; QB role remains in the guarded marginal
26.3 → 31.5
NYG controls · balanced · neutral pace
ARI controls · balanced · neutral pace
Scenario means integrate back to the guarded player distribution. “Validated” is awarded per market; a descriptive forecast is not automatically a betting signal.
This season
2026 Game Log
Performance history