Joe Fagnano
BAL · QB
56%
clears 6.0 pass attempts
Served forecast
Mixture P10
0.0
Mixture P50
6.0
Mixture P90
18.0
Mixture mean
8.0
← Matchups
Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET · Frozen Sep 29
TEN
Tennessee
Titans
16%
AT
BAL
Baltimore
Ravens
84%
Lean
BAL 84%
Total
43.7
1-score
29%
R4
28%
BAL controls
R1
27%
One-score game
R2
23%
BAL controls
R3
22%
BAL controls
Mitchell Trubisky
TEN · QB · pass attempts
Served forecast
50%
clears 1 pass attempts
Floor
0.0
Median
1.0
Ceiling
9.0
How the passing volume is built
2.8
Attempts
14.3
Completions
His four scripts
Conditional mean vs mixture
Weighted game environments. Scores describe each cluster's center, not an exact prediction.
Mixture mass · Served forecast
56% of the mixture clears 6 pass attempts
P10 0.0P50 6.06.0+P90 18
Mixture chain
How the passing volume is built
8
Attempts
0–18 across scripts
0.2
Completions
Expected completions
8 pass attempts
Same inheritance
BAL pass · script swing