← Matchups
Thu, Oct 1 · 8:15 PM ET · Frozen Sep 29
PIT
Steelers
60%
AT
CLE
Browns
40%
Lean
PIT 60%
Total
38.6
1-score
43%
R4
28%
CLE controls
R1
27%
PIT controls
R2
23%
PIT controls
R3
22%
One-score game
Aaron Rodgers
PIT · QB · pass attempts
Served forecast
54%
clears 33 pass attempts
Floor
23
Median
33
Ceiling
45
How the passing volume is built
33
Attempts
18.4
Completions
Denzel Boston
CLE · WR
55%
clears 1.0 receiving yards
Served forecast
Mixture P10
0.0
Mixture P50
1.0
Mixture P90
23.0
Mixture mean
7.5

His four scripts

Conditional mean vs mixture

Weighted game environments. Scores describe each cluster's center, not an exact prediction.

Mixture mass · Served forecast
55% of the mixture clears 1 receiving yards
P10 0.0
P50 1.0
1.0+
P90 23
1.0+
Mixture chain
How the receiving volume is built
28
Team targets
Offense passing volume
1.2
His share
4% of the targets
64%
Catch rate
0.8 receptions
6.1
Yards / target
Served gain
7.5 receiving yards

Same inheritance

CLE pass · script swing