← Matchups
Thu, Oct 1 · 8:15 PM ET · Frozen Sep 29
PIT
Steelers
60%
AT
CLE
Browns
40%
Lean
PIT 60%
Total
38.6
1-score
43%
R4
28%
CLE controls
R1
27%
PIT controls
R2
23%
PIT controls
R3
22%
One-score game
Aaron Rodgers
PIT · QB · pass attempts
Served forecast
54%
clears 33 pass attempts
Floor
23
Median
33
Ceiling
45
How the passing volume is built
33
Attempts
18.4
Completions
Shedeur Sanders
CLE · QB
51%
clears 15.0 pass attempts
Served forecast
Mixture P10
7.0
Mixture P50
15.0
Mixture P90
29.0
Mixture mean
16.7

His four scripts

Conditional mean vs mixture

Weighted game environments. Scores describe each cluster's center, not an exact prediction.

Mixture mass · Served forecast
51% of the mixture clears 15 pass attempts
P10 7.0
P50 15
15+
P90 29
15+
Mixture chain
How the passing volume is built
16.7
Attempts
7–29 across scripts
7.3
Completions
Expected completions
16.7 pass attempts

Same inheritance

CLE pass · script swing