Deshaun Watson
CLE · QB
50%
clears 18.0 pass attempts
Served forecast
Mixture P10
9.0
Mixture P50
18.0
Mixture P90
32.0
Mixture mean
19.0
← Matchups
Thu, Oct 1 · 8:15 PM ET · Frozen Sep 29
PIT
Pittsburgh
Steelers
60%
AT
CLE
Cleveland
Browns
40%
Lean
PIT 60%
Total
38.6
1-score
43%
R4
28%
CLE controls
R1
27%
PIT controls
R2
23%
PIT controls
R3
22%
One-score game
Aaron Rodgers
PIT · QB · pass attempts
Served forecast
54%
clears 33 pass attempts
Floor
23
Median
33
Ceiling
45
How the passing volume is built
33
Attempts
18.4
Completions
His four scripts
Conditional mean vs mixture
Weighted game environments. Scores describe each cluster's center, not an exact prediction.
Mixture mass · Served forecast
50% of the mixture clears 18 pass attempts
P10 9.0P50 1818+P90 32
Mixture chain
How the passing volume is built
19
Attempts
9–32 across scripts
17.1
Completions
Expected completions
19 pass attempts
Same inheritance
CLE pass · script swing