Geno Smith
NYJ · QB
52%
clears 16.0 pass attempts
Served forecast
Mixture P10
8.0
Mixture P50
16.0
Mixture P90
31.0
Mixture mean
17.8
← Matchups
Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET · Frozen Sep 29
NYJ
New York
Jets
40%
AT
CHI
Chicago
Bears
60%
Lean
CHI 60%
Total
42.6
1-score
44%
R1
29%
NYJ controls
R4
26%
CHI controls
R3
23%
CHI controls
R2
22%
One-score game
Geno Smith
NYJ · QB · pass attempts
Served forecast
52%
clears 16 pass attempts
Floor
8.0
Median
16
Ceiling
31
How the passing volume is built
17.8
Attempts
18.4
Completions
His four scripts
Conditional mean vs mixture
Weighted game environments. Scores describe each cluster's center, not an exact prediction.
Mixture mass · Served forecast
52% of the mixture clears 16 pass attempts
P10 8.0P50 1616+P90 31
Mixture chain
How the passing volume is built
17.8
Attempts
8–31 across scripts
18.4
Completions
Expected completions
17.8 pass attempts
Same inheritance
NYJ pass · script swing