← Matchups
Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET · Frozen Sep 29
NYJ
Jets
40%
AT
CHI
Bears
60%
Lean
CHI 60%
Total
42.6
1-score
44%
R1
29%
NYJ controls
R4
26%
CHI controls
R3
23%
CHI controls
R2
22%
One-score game
Geno Smith
NYJ · QB · pass attempts
Served forecast
52%
clears 16 pass attempts
Floor
8.0
Median
16
Ceiling
31
How the passing volume is built
17.8
Attempts
18.4
Completions
D'Andre Swift
CHI · RB
53%
clears 10.0 carries
Served forecast
Mixture P10
4.0
Mixture P50
10.0
Mixture P90
16.0
Mixture mean
9.9

His four scripts

Conditional mean vs mixture

Weighted game environments. Scores describe each cluster's center, not an exact prediction.

Mixture mass · Served forecast
53% of the mixture clears 10 carries
P10 4.0
P50 10
10+
P90 16
10+
Mixture chain
How the rushing volume is built
14.2
Carries
Backfield assignment
9.9 carries

Same inheritance

CHI rush · script swing