Dalton Kincaid
BUF · TE
59%
clears 4.0 targets
Served forecast
Mixture P10
2.0
Mixture P50
4.0
Mixture P90
8.0
Mixture mean
4.4
← Matchups
Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET · Frozen Sep 29
NE
New England
Patriots
27%
AT
BUF
Buffalo
Bills
73%
Lean
BUF 73%
Total
48.3
1-score
37%
R4
29%
BUF controls
R1
26%
One-score game
R2
24%
One-score game
R3
21%
BUF controls
Drake Maye
NE · QB · pass attempts
Served forecast
53%
clears 28 pass attempts
Floor
19
Median
28
Ceiling
41
How the passing volume is built
29
Attempts
17.3
Completions
His four scripts
Conditional mean vs mixture
Weighted game environments. Scores describe each cluster's center, not an exact prediction.
Mixture mass · Served forecast
59% of the mixture clears 4 targets
P10 2.0P50 4.04.0+P90 8.0
Mixture chain
How the receiving volume is built
29
Team targets
Offense passing volume
4.4
His share
15% of the targets
76%
Catch rate
3.4 receptions
7.9
Yards / target
Served gain
35 receiving yards
Same inheritance
BUF pass · script swing