← Matchups
Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET · Frozen Sep 29
NE
Patriots
27%
AT
BUF
Bills
73%
Lean
BUF 73%
Total
48.3
1-score
37%
R4
29%
BUF controls
R1
26%
One-score game
R2
24%
One-score game
R3
21%
BUF controls
Drake Maye
NE · QB · pass attempts
Served forecast
53%
clears 28 pass attempts
Floor
19
Median
28
Ceiling
41
How the passing volume is built
29
Attempts
17.3
Completions
Josh Allen
BUF · QB
53%
clears 28.0 pass attempts
Served forecast
Mixture P10
19.0
Mixture P50
28.0
Mixture P90
41.0
Mixture mean
28.6

His four scripts

Conditional mean vs mixture

Weighted game environments. Scores describe each cluster's center, not an exact prediction.

Mixture mass · Served forecast
53% of the mixture clears 28 pass attempts
P10 19
P50 28
28+
P90 41
28+
Mixture chain
How the passing volume is built
29
Attempts
19–41 across scripts
17.6
Completions
Expected completions
29 pass attempts

Same inheritance

BUF pass · script swing