← Matchups
Sun, Oct 4 · 4:05 PM ET · Frozen Sep 29
MIA
Dolphins
19%
AT
MIN
Vikings
81%
Lean
MIN 81%
Total
38.5
1-score
31%
R1
28%
One-score game
R4
27%
MIN controls
R3
23%
MIN controls
R2
23%
MIN controls
Malik Willis
MIA · QB · pass attempts
Served forecast
53%
clears 23 pass attempts
Floor
14
Median
23
Ceiling
36
How the passing volume is built
24
Attempts
9.3
Completions
Aaron Jones
MIN · RB
60%
clears 6.0 carries
Served forecast
Mixture P10
2.0
Mixture P50
6.0
Mixture P90
12.0
Mixture mean
7.0

His four scripts

Conditional mean vs mixture

Weighted game environments. Scores describe each cluster's center, not an exact prediction.

Mixture mass · Served forecast
60% of the mixture clears 6 carries
P10 2.0
P50 6.0
6.0+
P90 12
6.0+
Mixture chain
How the rushing volume is built
14.6
Carries
Backfield assignment
7 carries

Same inheritance

MIN rush · script swing