← Matchups
Sun, Oct 4 · 4:05 PM ET · Frozen Sep 29
MIA
Dolphins
19%
AT
MIN
Vikings
81%
Lean
MIN 81%
Total
38.5
1-score
31%
R1
28%
One-score game
R4
27%
MIN controls
R3
23%
MIN controls
R2
23%
MIN controls
Malik Willis
MIA · QB · pass attempts
Served forecast
53%
clears 23 pass attempts
Floor
14
Median
23
Ceiling
36
How the passing volume is built
24
Attempts
9.3
Completions
Carson Wentz
MIN · QB
51%
clears 15.0 pass attempts
Served forecast
Mixture P10
7.0
Mixture P50
15.0
Mixture P90
30.0
Mixture mean
17.1

His four scripts

Conditional mean vs mixture

Weighted game environments. Scores describe each cluster's center, not an exact prediction.

Mixture mass · Served forecast
51% of the mixture clears 15 pass attempts
P10 7.0
P50 15
15+
P90 30
15+
Mixture chain
How the passing volume is built
17.1
Attempts
7–30 across scripts
14.1
Completions
Expected completions
17.1 pass attempts

Same inheritance

MIN pass · script swing