Ty Simpson
LA · QB · pass attempts
14%
clears 1.0 pass attempts
Served forecast
Mixture P10
0.0
Mixture P50
0.0
Mixture P90
2.0
Mixture mean
0.5
← Matchups
Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET · Frozen Sep 29
LA
Los Angeles
Rams
57%
AT
PHI
Philadelphia
Eagles
43%
Lean
LA 57%
Total
46.7
1-score
45%
R4
29%
PHI controls
R1
27%
LA controls
R2
23%
LA controls
R3
21%
One-score game
Matthew Stafford
LA · QB · pass attempts
Served forecast
52%
clears 26 pass attempts
Floor
17
Median
26
Ceiling
39
How the passing volume is built
27
Attempts
19.2
Completions
His four scripts
Conditional mean vs mixture
Weighted game environments. Scores describe each cluster's center, not an exact prediction.
Mixture mass · Served forecast
14% of the mixture clears 1 pass attempts
P10 0.0P50 0.01.0+P90 2.0
Mixture chain
How the passing volume is built
0.5
Attempts
0–2 across scripts
0.1
Completions
Expected completions
0.5 pass attempts
Same inheritance
LA pass · script swing