AJ Barner
SEA · TE
60%
clears 3.0 targets
Served forecast
Mixture P10
0.0
Mixture P50
3.0
Mixture P90
6.0
Mixture mean
3.3
← Matchups
Sun, Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET · Frozen Sep 29
LAC
Los Angeles
Chargers
29%
AT
SEA
Seattle
Seahawks
71%
Lean
SEA 71%
Total
43.4
1-score
39%
R1
28%
One-score game
R4
28%
SEA controls
R2
23%
One-score game
R3
22%
SEA controls
Justin Herbert
LAC · QB · pass attempts
Served forecast
54%
clears 29 pass attempts
Floor
20
Median
29
Ceiling
42
How the passing volume is built
30
Attempts
17.1
Completions
His four scripts
Conditional mean vs mixture
Weighted game environments. Scores describe each cluster's center, not an exact prediction.
Mixture mass · Served forecast
60% of the mixture clears 3 targets
P10 0.0P50 3.03.0+P90 6.0
Mixture chain
How the receiving volume is built
29
Team targets
Offense passing volume
3.3
His share
11% of the targets
76%
Catch rate
2.5 receptions
6.6
Yards / target
Served gain
22 receiving yards
Same inheritance
SEA pass · script swing