Drew Lock
SEA · QB
57%
clears 12.0 pass attempts
Served forecast
Mixture P10
5.0
Mixture P50
12.0
Mixture P90
26.0
Mixture mean
13.8
← Matchups
Sun, Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET · Frozen Sep 29
LAC
Los Angeles
Chargers
29%
AT
SEA
Seattle
Seahawks
71%
Lean
SEA 71%
Total
43.4
1-score
39%
R1
28%
One-score game
R4
28%
SEA controls
R2
23%
One-score game
R3
22%
SEA controls
Justin Herbert
LAC · QB · pass attempts
Served forecast
54%
clears 29 pass attempts
Floor
20
Median
29
Ceiling
42
How the passing volume is built
30
Attempts
17.1
Completions
His four scripts
Conditional mean vs mixture
Weighted game environments. Scores describe each cluster's center, not an exact prediction.
Mixture mass · Served forecast
57% of the mixture clears 12 pass attempts
P10 5.0P50 1212+P90 26
Mixture chain
How the passing volume is built
13.8
Attempts
5–26 across scripts
4.4
Completions
Expected completions
13.8 pass attempts
Same inheritance
SEA pass · script swing