Patrick Mahomes
KC · QB
56%
clears 27.0 pass attempts
Served forecast
Mixture P10
19.0
Mixture P50
27.0
Mixture P90
40.0
Mixture mean
28.2
← Matchups
Sun, Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET · Frozen Sep 29
KC
Kansas City
Chiefs
70%
AT
LV
Las Vegas
Raiders
30%
Lean
KC 70%
Total
47.6
1-score
39%
R4
28%
One-score game
R1
27%
KC controls
R3
24%
One-score game
R2
21%
KC controls
Patrick Mahomes
KC · QB · pass attempts
Served forecast
56%
clears 27 pass attempts
Floor
19
Median
27
Ceiling
40
How the passing volume is built
28
Attempts
21
Completions
His four scripts
Conditional mean vs mixture
Weighted game environments. Scores describe each cluster's center, not an exact prediction.
Mixture mass · Served forecast
56% of the mixture clears 27 pass attempts
P10 19P50 2727+P90 40
Mixture chain
How the passing volume is built
28
Attempts
19–40 across scripts
21
Completions
Expected completions
28 pass attempts
Same inheritance
KC pass · script swing