← Matchups
Sun, Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET · Frozen Sep 29
KC
Chiefs
70%
AT
LV
Raiders
30%
Lean
KC 70%
Total
47.6
1-score
39%
R4
28%
One-score game
R1
27%
KC controls
R3
24%
One-score game
R2
21%
KC controls
Patrick Mahomes
KC · QB · pass attempts
Served forecast
56%
clears 27 pass attempts
Floor
19
Median
27
Ceiling
40
How the passing volume is built
28
Attempts
21
Completions
Ashton Jeanty
LV · RB
52%
clears 11.0 carries
Served forecast
Mixture P10
5.0
Mixture P50
11.0
Mixture P90
18.0
Mixture mean
11.1

His four scripts

Conditional mean vs mixture

Weighted game environments. Scores describe each cluster's center, not an exact prediction.

Mixture mass · Served forecast
52% of the mixture clears 11 carries
P10 5.0
P50 11
11+
P90 18
11+
Mixture chain
How the rushing volume is built
19.2
Carries
Backfield assignment
11.1 carries

Same inheritance

LV rush · script swing