Aidan O'Connell
LV · QB · pass attempts
54%
clears 4.0 pass attempts
Served forecast
Mixture P10
0.0
Mixture P50
4.0
Mixture P90
16.0
Mixture mean
5.9
← Matchups
Sun, Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET · Frozen Sep 29
KC
Kansas City
Chiefs
70%
AT
LV
Las Vegas
Raiders
30%
Lean
KC 70%
Total
47.6
1-score
39%
R4
28%
One-score game
R1
27%
KC controls
R3
24%
One-score game
R2
21%
KC controls
Patrick Mahomes
KC · QB · pass attempts
Served forecast
56%
clears 27 pass attempts
Floor
19
Median
27
Ceiling
40
How the passing volume is built
28
Attempts
21
Completions
His four scripts
Conditional mean vs mixture
Weighted game environments. Scores describe each cluster's center, not an exact prediction.
Mixture mass · Served forecast
54% of the mixture clears 4 pass attempts
P10 0.0P50 4.04.0+P90 16
Mixture chain
How the passing volume is built
5.9
Attempts
0–16 across scripts
10.8
Completions
Expected completions
5.9 pass attempts
Same inheritance
LV pass · script swing