Backfield IQ
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Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET · Frozen Sep 29
JAX
Jaguars
42%
AT
CIN
Bengals
58%
Lean
CIN 58%
Total
51.5
1-score
44%
R1
28%
JAX controls
R4
27%
CIN controls
R3
23%
CIN controls
R2
22%
One-score game
Trevor Lawrence
JAX · QB · pass attempts
Served forecast
51%
clears 26 pass attempts
Floor
17
Median
26
Ceiling
39
How the passing volume is built
26
Attempts
19
Completions
Bhayshul Tuten
JAX · RB
51%
clears 6.0 carries
Served forecast
Mixture P10
2.0
Mixture P50
6.0
Mixture P90
12.0
Mixture mean
6.4

His four scripts

Conditional mean vs mixture

Weighted game environments. Scores describe each cluster's center, not an exact prediction.

Mixture mass · Served forecast
51% of the mixture clears 6 carries
P10 2.0
P50 6.0
6.0+
P90 12
6.0+
Mixture chain
How the rushing volume is built
7.6
Carries
Backfield assignment
6.4 carries

Same inheritance

JAX rush · script swing