Joe Burrow
CIN · QB
54%
clears 21.0 pass attempts
Served forecast
Mixture P10
12.0
Mixture P50
21.0
Mixture P90
35.0
Mixture mean
22.1
← Matchups
Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET · Frozen Sep 29
JAX
Jacksonville
Jaguars
42%
AT
CIN
Cincinnati
Bengals
58%
Lean
CIN 58%
Total
51.5
1-score
44%
R1
28%
JAX controls
R4
27%
CIN controls
R3
23%
CIN controls
R2
22%
One-score game
Trevor Lawrence
JAX · QB · pass attempts
Served forecast
51%
clears 26 pass attempts
Floor
17
Median
26
Ceiling
39
How the passing volume is built
26
Attempts
19
Completions
His four scripts
Conditional mean vs mixture
Weighted game environments. Scores describe each cluster's center, not an exact prediction.
Mixture mass · Served forecast
54% of the mixture clears 21 pass attempts
P10 12P50 2121+P90 35
Mixture chain
How the passing volume is built
22
Attempts
12–35 across scripts
22
Completions
Expected completions
22 pass attempts
Same inheritance
CIN pass · script swing