← Matchups
Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET · Frozen Sep 29
JAX
Jaguars
42%
AT
CIN
Bengals
58%
Lean
CIN 58%
Total
51.5
1-score
44%
R1
28%
JAX controls
R4
27%
CIN controls
R3
23%
CIN controls
R2
22%
One-score game
Trevor Lawrence
JAX · QB · pass attempts
Served forecast
51%
clears 26 pass attempts
Floor
17
Median
26
Ceiling
39
How the passing volume is built
26
Attempts
19
Completions
Tee Higgins
CIN · WR
57%
clears 6.0 targets
Served forecast
Mixture P10
3.0
Mixture P50
6.0
Mixture P90
10.0
Mixture mean
6.4

His four scripts

Conditional mean vs mixture

Weighted game environments. Scores describe each cluster's center, not an exact prediction.

Mixture mass · Served forecast
57% of the mixture clears 6 targets
P10 3.0
P50 6.0
6.0+
P90 10
6.0+
Mixture chain
How the receiving volume is built
33
Team targets
Offense passing volume
6.4
His share
19% of the targets
62%
Catch rate
3.9 receptions
8.3
Yards / target
Served gain
53 receiving yards

Same inheritance

CIN pass · script swing