← Matchups
Sun, Oct 4 · 9:30 AM ET · Frozen Sep 29
IND
Colts
62%
AT
WAS
Commanders
38%
Lean
IND 62%
Total
47.3
1-score
43%
R4
28%
WAS controls
R1
28%
IND controls
R3
22%
One-score game
R2
21%
IND controls
Daniel Jones
IND · QB · pass attempts
Served forecast
51%
clears 32 pass attempts
Floor
22
Median
32
Ceiling
43
How the passing volume is built
32
Attempts
15.1
Completions
Jayden Daniels
WAS · QB
53%
clears 21.0 pass attempts
Served forecast
Mixture P10
11.0
Mixture P50
21.0
Mixture P90
35.0
Mixture mean
21.8

His four scripts

Conditional mean vs mixture

Weighted game environments. Scores describe each cluster's center, not an exact prediction.

Mixture mass · Served forecast
53% of the mixture clears 21 pass attempts
P10 11
P50 21
21+
P90 35
21+
Mixture chain
How the passing volume is built
22
Attempts
11–35 across scripts
13
Completions
Expected completions
22 pass attempts

Same inheritance

WAS pass · script swing