← Matchups
Sun, Oct 4 · 8:20 PM ET · Frozen Sep 29
DET
Lions
64%
AT
CAR
Panthers
36%
Lean
DET 64%
Total
50.6
1-score
43%
R4
28%
CAR controls
R1
27%
DET controls
R2
23%
DET controls
R3
22%
One-score game
Jared Goff
DET · QB · pass attempts
Served forecast
51%
clears 30 pass attempts
Floor
21
Median
30
Ceiling
42
How the passing volume is built
30
Attempts
23
Completions
Bryce Young
CAR · QB
52%
clears 26.0 pass attempts
Served forecast
Mixture P10
17.0
Mixture P50
26.0
Mixture P90
39.0
Mixture mean
26.4

His four scripts

Conditional mean vs mixture

Weighted game environments. Scores describe each cluster's center, not an exact prediction.

Mixture mass · Served forecast
52% of the mixture clears 26 pass attempts
P10 17
P50 26
26+
P90 39
26+
Mixture chain
How the passing volume is built
26
Attempts
17–39 across scripts
18.9
Completions
Expected completions
26 pass attempts

Same inheritance

CAR pass · script swing