← Matchups
Sun, Oct 4 · 8:20 PM ET · Frozen Sep 29
DET
Lions
64%
AT
CAR
Panthers
36%
Lean
DET 64%
Total
50.6
1-score
43%
R4
28%
CAR controls
R1
27%
DET controls
R2
23%
DET controls
R3
22%
One-score game
Jared Goff
DET · QB · pass attempts
Served forecast
51%
clears 30 pass attempts
Floor
21
Median
30
Ceiling
42
How the passing volume is built
30
Attempts
23
Completions
Roger McCreary
DET · CB · solo tackles
1.0
median solo tackles
Script range
Mixture P10
0.0
Mixture P50
1.0
Mixture P90
3.0
Mixture mean
1.3

His four scripts

Conditional mean vs mixture

Weighted game environments. Scores describe each cluster's center, not an exact prediction.

Mixture range · Script range
Quantile interval only. No bucket mass inferred.
P10 0.0
P50 1.0
1.0+
P90 3.0
1.0+